Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 14:30 • Millerntor-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.61) 2.85 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.4% 13.7% 69.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
9.3%
0 - 3
8.8%
1 - 2
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
VfB Stuttgart
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC St. Pauli 0 2.3% 6.5% 9.3% 8.8% 6.3% 3.6%
1 2.1% 6.0% 8.6% 8.2% 5.8% 3.3%
2 1.0% 2.8% 4.0% 3.8% 2.7% 1.6%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC St. PauliVfB Stuttgart
Played55
Form13%87%
Attack36%86%
Defense43%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC St. Pauli VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins22%9%15%70%50%60%
Draws33%18%25%20%10%15%
Loses44%73%60%10%40%25%

Form: FC St. Pauli: DWWLLLLLLLLLDWDLLDDL • VfB Stuttgart: LWLWWWWWLWDLLWDWWDWW

League goals

Metric FC St. Pauli VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
GF total9918142337
GF avg1.00.80.91.42.31.9
GA total161834111526
GA avg1.81.61.71.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC St. PauliVfB Stuttgart
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%85%90%60%
1.525%55%50%40%
2.55%25%35%20%
3.50%5%10%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC St. PauliVfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
Clean sheets123538
Failed to score448202

Penalties

MetricFC St. PauliVfB Stuttgart
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricFC St. PauliVfB Stuttgart
Wins25
Draws21
Losses92

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-00-4
Biggest losses0-43-10-53-1
Goals For3234
Goals Against4353

Model comparison

MetricFC St. PauliVfB Stuttgart
Form13%87%
Att29%71%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total26.8%73.2%

Advice: Winner : VfB Stuttgart

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.85 @ 188Bet
Draw3.88 @ 1xBet
Away1.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.00 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC St. Pauli = 0.93 (league 1.61), VfB Stuttgart = 2.85 (league 1.45)

VfB Stuttgart
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC St. Pauli 0 2.3% 6.5% 9.3% 8.8% 6.3% 3.6%
1 2.1% 6.0% 8.6% 8.2% 5.8% 3.3%
2 1.0% 2.8% 4.0% 3.8% 2.7% 1.6%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.4% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 69.9%

vtt 4 , vtd1