Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 14:30 • Volkswagen Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.61) 2.74 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.5% 15.4% 66.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.9%
0 - 2
8.1%
1 - 3
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Borussia Dortmund
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Wolfsburg 0 2.2% 5.9% 8.1% 7.4% 5.1% 2.8%
1 2.4% 6.5% 8.9% 8.1% 5.6% 3.1%
2 1.3% 3.5% 4.8% 4.4% 3.0% 1.7%
3 0.5% 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVfL WolfsburgBorussia Dortmund
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack36%100%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 115 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VfL Wolfsburg Borussia Dortmund
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins20%30%25%80%50%65%
Draws30%10%20%20%40%30%
Loses50%60%55%0%10%5%

Form: VfL Wolfsburg: WDDLLLLWLLLDWWLLWDLL • Borussia Dortmund: DWWWWDLWWDDWWDWDWWWW

League goals

Metric VfL Wolfsburg Borussia Dortmund
HATHAT
GF total161228221941
GF avg1.61.21.42.21.92.1
GA total21214281119
GA avg2.12.12.10.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVfL WolfsburgBorussia Dortmund
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%95%100%50%
1.535%45%65%30%
2.525%40%40%15%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVfL WolfsburgBorussia Dortmund
HATHAT
Clean sheets0116410
Failed to score224000

Penalties

MetricVfL WolfsburgBorussia Dortmund
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricVfL WolfsburgBorussia Dortmund
Wins24
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-38-1—2-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against4833

Model comparison

MetricVfL WolfsburgBorussia Dortmund
Form24%76%
Att25%75%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total27.2%72.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Borussia Dortmund and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.80 @ Unibet
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away1.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.48 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VfL Wolfsburg = 1.09 (league 1.61), Borussia Dortmund = 2.74 (league 1.45)

Borussia Dortmund
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Wolfsburg 0 2.2% 5.9% 8.1% 7.4% 5.1% 2.8%
1 2.4% 6.5% 8.9% 8.1% 5.6% 3.1%
2 1.3% 3.5% 4.8% 4.4% 3.0% 1.7%
3 0.5% 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.5% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 66.0%

vtt 4 , vtd1