Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:30 • Volksparkstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.61) 0.76 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.4% 25.2% 17.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.2%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Union Berlin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 9.6% 7.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.2% 11.6% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.1% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamburger SVUnion Berlin
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack28%22%
Defense78%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamburger SV Union Berlin
HATHAT
Played101020111021
Wins40%10%25%27%30%29%
Draws40%30%35%45%20%33%
Loses20%60%40%27%50%38%

Form: Hamburger SV: DLLWDWLLLDLWWLDLDDDW • Union Berlin: WLLWDLWLDDWLLWWDDDLLD

League goals

Metric Hamburger SV Union Berlin
HATHAT
GF total15621161026
GF avg1.50.61.11.51.01.2
GA total111829171734
GA avg1.11.81.51.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamburger SVUnion Berlin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%70%71%81%
1.530%40%33%48%
2.510%15%14%29%
3.55%15%5%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamburger SVUnion Berlin
HATHAT
Clean sheets246224
Failed to score358336

Penalties

MetricHamburger SVUnion Berlin
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHamburger SVUnion Berlin
Wins22
Draws33
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-13-4
Biggest losses0-25-00-33-0
Goals For4234
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricHamburger SVUnion Berlin
Form67%33%
Att56%44%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Hamburger SV or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ 1xBet
Away3.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamburger SV = 1.58 (league 1.61), Union Berlin = 0.76 (league 1.45)

Union Berlin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 9.6% 7.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.2% 11.6% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.1% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.4% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 17.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1