Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:30 • PreZero Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.01 (league 1.59) 1.09 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.4% 13.5% 10.4%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 1
8.2%
3 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
1899 Hoffenheim 0 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.0% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.5% 8.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 8.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.7% 6.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.4% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric1899 HoffenheimSC Freiburg
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack56%28%
Defense61%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric 1899 Hoffenheim SC Freiburg
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins70%55%62%60%18%38%
Draws0%27%14%30%27%29%
Loses30%18%24%10%55%33%

Form: 1899 Hoffenheim: WLWLDLWWWWDWLWDWWWWWL • SC Freiburg: LLWWDDDLDWLWLDWWLDWLW

League goals

Metric 1899 Hoffenheim SC Freiburg
HATHAT
GF total242044191332
GF avg2.41.82.11.91.21.5
GA total131528112233
GA avg1.31.41.31.12.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line1899 HoffenheimSC Freiburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%76%76%76%
1.557%29%48%43%
2.548%14%19%19%
3.514%10%10%10%
4.55%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric1899 HoffenheimSC Freiburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets235235
Failed to score123055

Penalties

Metric1899 HoffenheimSC Freiburg
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

Metric1899 HoffenheimSC Freiburg
Wins52
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-34-00-3
Biggest losses1-45-11-36-2
Goals For5444
Goals Against4536

Model comparison

Metric1899 HoffenheimSC Freiburg
Form63%37%
Att67%33%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h15%85%
Goals41%59%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : 1899 Hoffenheim or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ 1xBet
Draw4.16 @ 1xBet
Away4.78 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.25 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): 1899 Hoffenheim = 3.01 (league 1.59), SC Freiburg = 1.09 (league 1.43)

SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
1899 Hoffenheim 0 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.0% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.5% 8.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 8.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.7% 6.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.4% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.4% · Draw 13.5% · Away win 10.4%

vtt 9 , vtd1