Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:30 • Weserstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.61) 4.27 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.1% 4.8% 67.3%
best score tips
0 - 4
9.9%
0 - 3
9.3%
0 - 5
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen 0 0.7% 3.1% 6.5% 9.3% 9.9% 8.4%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.4% 6.2% 6.6% 5.7%
2 0.2% 0.7% 1.5% 2.1% 2.2% 1.9%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWerder BremenBayern München
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack22%89%
Defense56%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.816 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Werder Bremen Bayern München
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins30%9%19%82%80%81%
Draws40%27%33%9%20%14%
Loses30%64%48%9%0%5%

Form: Werder Bremen: LDWLLWDWDWLDLLDLDLLDL • Bayern München: WWWWWWWWWDWWWDWWWWLDW

League goals

Metric Werder Bremen Bayern München
HATHAT
GF total121022453479
GF avg1.20.91.04.13.43.8
GA total18213910919
GA avg1.81.91.90.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWerder BremenBayern München
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%81%100%62%
1.529%52%95%29%
2.514%38%76%0%
3.55%14%48%0%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWerder BremenBayern München
HATHAT
Clean sheets224448
Failed to score369000

Penalties

MetricWerder BremenBayern München
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total28

Streaks

MetricWerder BremenBayern München
Wins19
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-48-10-5
Biggest losses0-44-01-2
Goals For3485
Goals Against4422

Model comparison

MetricWerder BremenBayern München
Form17%83%
Att20%80%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution13%87%
H2h20%80%
Goals6%94%
Total20.5%79.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.50 @ Betfair
Draw6.40 @ 188Bet
Away1.35 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Betano
Under 2.53.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.45 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Werder Bremen = 0.67 (league 1.61), Bayern München = 4.27 (league 1.43)

Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen 0 0.7% 3.1% 6.5% 9.3% 9.9% 8.4%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.4% 6.2% 6.6% 5.7%
2 0.2% 0.7% 1.5% 2.1% 2.2% 1.9%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.1% · Draw 4.8% · Away win 67.3%

vtt 8 , vtd1