Bundesliga
— Germany
Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 14:30 •
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.63)
1.94 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.9% | 21.9% | 45.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Bayer Leverkusen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Berlin | 0 | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Union Berlin | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 67% |
| Attack | 36% | 64% |
| Defense | 21% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Union Berlin | Bayer Leverkusen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 27% | 27% | 27% | 64% | 50% | 57% |
| Draws | 45% | 18% | 32% | 9% | 20% | 14% |
| Loses | 27% | 55% | 41% | 27% | 30% | 29% |
Union BerlinWLLWDLWLDDWLLWWDDDLLDL
Bayer LeverkusenLDWDWWWWLWWLLWWLLWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Union Berlin | Bayer Leverkusen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 24 | 19 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 17 | 20 | 37 | 10 | 17 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Union Berlin | Bayer Leverkusen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 82% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 50% | 57% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 32% | 38% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 14% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Union Berlin | Bayer Leverkusen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Union Berlin | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Union Berlin | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 3-4 | 6-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Union Berlin | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 21% | 79% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 10% | 90% |
| Total | 22.0% | 78.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.15 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away2.45 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.99 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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