Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 14:30 • Mewa Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.62) 1.90 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.8% 22.3% 53.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
VfB Stuttgart
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 4.7% 8.9% 8.5% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.4% 10.3% 9.8% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1%
2 3.1% 6.0% 5.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack40%80%
Defense53%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins25%17%21%75%42%58%
Draws33%33%33%17%17%17%
Loses42%50%46%8%42%25%

Form: FSV Mainz 05: LDLWLLLLDLDLLDDDWLWWWLDD • VfB Stuttgart: LWLWWWWWLWDLLWDWWDWWLWDW

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
GF total131427212748
GF avg1.11.21.11.82.32.0
GA total142539122032
GA avg1.22.11.61.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%92%92%63%
1.533%38%54%42%
2.513%17%42%21%
3.54%17%13%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
Clean sheets202639
Failed to score549202

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total74

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart
Wins35
Draws31
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-44-00-4
Biggest losses0-24-00-53-1
Goals For3444
Goals Against4453

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart
Form44%56%
Att33%67%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h29%71%
Goals41%59%
Total38.2%61.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or VfB Stuttgart

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ 1xBet
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away2.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.42 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 = 1.15 (league 1.62), VfB Stuttgart = 1.90 (league 1.45)

VfB Stuttgart
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 0 4.7% 8.9% 8.5% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.4% 10.3% 9.8% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1%
2 3.1% 6.0% 5.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.8% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 53.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1