Bundesliga — Germany
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 16:30 • Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.61) 0.87 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.2% 24.5% 19.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
11.5%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Werder Bremen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin 0 8.1% 7.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.3% 11.5% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.0% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion BerlinWerder Bremen
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack26%21%
Defense58%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Berlin Werder Bremen
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins33%25%29%33%8%21%
Draws42%17%29%33%25%29%
Loses25%58%42%33%67%50%

Form: Union Berlin: WLLWDLWLDDWLLWWDDDLLDLWL • Werder Bremen: LDWLLWDWDWLDLLDLDLLDLLLW

League goals

Metric Union Berlin Werder Bremen
HATHAT
GF total171229141125
GF avg1.41.01.21.20.91.0
GA total172138212344
GA avg1.41.81.61.81.91.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion BerlinWerder Bremen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%58%79%
1.533%46%29%54%
2.513%29%13%38%
3.54%4%4%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion BerlinWerder Bremen
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score3474610

Penalties

MetricUnion BerlinWerder Bremen
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricUnion BerlinWerder Bremen
Wins21
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-42-00-4
Biggest losses0-33-00-44-0
Goals For3434
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricUnion BerlinWerder Bremen
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Werder Bremen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ 1xBet
Draw3.29 @ 1xBet
Away3.25 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Berlin = 1.65 (league 1.61), Werder Bremen = 0.87 (league 1.45)

Werder Bremen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin 0 8.1% 7.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.3% 11.5% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.0% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 19.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1