Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:30 • BayArena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.61) 2.04 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.2% 21.2% 55.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.8%
1 - 1
9.6%
0 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 4.0% 8.2% 8.4% 5.7% 2.9% 1.2%
1 4.7% 9.6% 9.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.4%
2 2.8% 5.6% 5.8% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.1% 2.2% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayer LeverkusenBayern München
Played55
Form53%100%
Attack47%95%
Defense74%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.818 | 3.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Bayern München
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins58%46%52%85%83%84%
Draws17%23%20%8%17%12%
Loses25%31%28%8%0%4%

Form: Bayer Leverkusen: LDWDWWWWLWWLLWWLLWWDWLDWD • Bayern München: WWWWWWWWWDWWWDWWWWLDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Bayern München
HATHAT
GF total252348524092
GF avg2.11.81.94.03.33.7
GA total112132131124
GA avg0.91.61.31.00.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayer LeverkusenBayern München
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%72%100%64%
1.552%32%96%32%
2.536%20%80%0%
3.512%4%44%0%
4.54%0%28%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayer LeverkusenBayern München
HATHAT
Clean sheets617459
Failed to score044000

Penalties

MetricBayer LeverkusenBayern München
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%11 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total411

Streaks

MetricBayer LeverkusenBayern München
Wins49
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-38-10-5
Biggest losses1-43-01-2
Goals For6485
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricBayer LeverkusenBayern München
Form35%65%
Att33%67%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h29%71%
Goals11%89%
Total32.8%67.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bayern München

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.02 @ 1xBet
Draw4.72 @ 1xBet
Away1.66 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Betano
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ Pinnacle
No2.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayer Leverkusen = 1.17 (league 1.61), Bayern München = 2.04 (league 1.45)

Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 4.0% 8.2% 8.4% 5.7% 2.9% 1.2%
1 4.7% 9.6% 9.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.4%
2 2.8% 5.6% 5.8% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.1% 2.2% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 55.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1