Bundesliga — Germany
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 16:30 • Europa-Park Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.61) 0.89 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.1% 18.6% 13.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.9%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Union Berlin
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg 0 4.4% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.8% 8.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.9% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.1% 7.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC FreiburgUnion Berlin
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack43%36%
Defense36%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Freiburg Union Berlin
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins58%15%36%31%25%28%
Draws33%23%28%38%17%28%
Loses8%62%36%31%58%44%

Form: SC Freiburg: LLWWDDDLDWLWLDWWLDWLWLWLD • Union Berlin: WLLWDLWLDDWLLWWDDDLLDLWLL

League goals

Metric SC Freiburg Union Berlin
HATHAT
GF total241337181230
GF avg2.01.01.51.41.01.2
GA total152742212142
GA avg1.32.11.71.61.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC FreiburgUnion Berlin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%80%72%80%
1.548%48%32%48%
2.520%24%12%32%
3.58%8%4%8%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC FreiburgUnion Berlin
HATHAT
Clean sheets235325
Failed to score077347

Penalties

MetricSC FreiburgUnion Berlin
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricSC FreiburgUnion Berlin
Wins22
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-13-4
Biggest losses1-36-21-43-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against3643

Model comparison

MetricSC FreiburgUnion Berlin
Form64%36%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : SC Freiburg or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Betfair
Away3.74 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.76 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Freiburg = 2.23 (league 1.61), Union Berlin = 0.89 (league 1.45)

Union Berlin
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg 0 4.4% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.8% 8.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.9% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.1% 7.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 13.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1