Bundesliga — Germany
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 18:30 • MHPArena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.59) 1.12 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.8% 26.0% 28.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
RB Leipzig
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfB Stuttgart 0 7.5% 8.4% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.0% 12.4% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.1% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVfB StuttgartRB Leipzig
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack100%100%
Defense11%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VfB Stuttgart RB Leipzig
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins75%38%56%62%50%56%
Draws17%23%20%15%25%20%
Loses8%38%24%23%25%24%

Form: VfB Stuttgart: LWLWWWWWLWDLLWDWWDWWLWDWD • RB Leipzig: LWWWWDWWWLWDWLLWLWDLWDDWW

League goals

Metric VfB Stuttgart RB Leipzig
HATHAT
GF total212950291948
GF avg1.82.22.02.21.61.9
GA total122234181634
GA avg1.01.71.41.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVfB StuttgartRB Leipzig
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%64%92%64%
1.556%44%56%32%
2.540%20%20%20%
3.512%4%8%8%
4.50%4%8%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVfB StuttgartRB Leipzig
HATHAT
Clean sheets639459
Failed to score202022

Penalties

MetricVfB StuttgartRB Leipzig
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricVfB StuttgartRB Leipzig
Wins54
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-46-00-6
Biggest losses0-53-11-56-0
Goals For4466
Goals Against5356

Model comparison

MetricVfB StuttgartRB Leipzig
Form42%58%
Att57%43%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h80%20%
Goals61%39%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : VfB Stuttgart or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ 1xBet
Draw4.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.77 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Superbet
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.35 @ Superbet
No3.55 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VfB Stuttgart = 1.47 (league 1.59), RB Leipzig = 1.12 (league 1.43)

RB Leipzig
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfB Stuttgart 0 7.5% 8.4% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.0% 12.4% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.1% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.8% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 28.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1