Bundesliga — Germany
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:30 • Weserstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.59) 1.51 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.0% 23.9% 36.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
FSV Mainz 05
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen 0 4.5% 6.9% 5.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.2% 10.8% 8.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.6% 6.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWerder BremenFSV Mainz 05
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack78%67%
Defense22%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Werder Bremen FSV Mainz 05
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%15%24%23%17%20%
Draws33%23%28%38%33%36%
Loses33%62%48%38%50%44%

Form: Werder Bremen: LDWLLWDWDWLDLLDLDLLDLLLWW • FSV Mainz 05: LDLWLLLLDLDLLDDDWLWWWLDDD

League goals

Metric Werder Bremen FSV Mainz 05
HATHAT
GF total141529151429
GF avg1.21.21.21.21.21.2
GA total212445162541
GA avg1.81.81.81.22.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWerder BremenFSV Mainz 05
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%64%92%
1.532%52%36%40%
2.516%36%12%16%
3.58%12%4%16%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWerder BremenFSV Mainz 05
HATHAT
Clean sheets325202
Failed to score4610549

Penalties

MetricWerder BremenFSV Mainz 05
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total27

Streaks

MetricWerder BremenFSV Mainz 05
Wins13
Draws13
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-43-11-4
Biggest losses0-44-00-24-0
Goals For3434
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricWerder BremenFSV Mainz 05
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h93%7%
Goals82%18%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Double chance : Werder Bremen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Superbet
Draw3.74 @ 1xBet
Away3.62 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.15 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Pinnacle
No2.34 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Werder Bremen = 1.58 (league 1.59), FSV Mainz 05 = 1.51 (league 1.43)

FSV Mainz 05
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen 0 4.5% 6.9% 5.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.2% 10.8% 8.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.6% 6.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.0% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 36.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1