Bundesliga — Germany
Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 16:30 • Millerntor-Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.59) 1.05 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.9% 26.4% 27.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
11.9%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC St. Pauli 0 8.2% 8.6% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.9% 12.5% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.1% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC St. PauliSC Freiburg
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack38%63%
Defense13%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC St. Pauli SC Freiburg
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins33%14%23%54%15%35%
Draws33%14%23%31%23%27%
Loses33%71%54%15%62%38%

Form: FC St. Pauli: DWWLLLLLLLLLDWDLLDDLWLWWDL • SC Freiburg: LLWWDDDLDWLWLDWWLDWLWLWLDL

League goals

Metric FC St. Pauli SC Freiburg
HATHAT
GF total131023241337
GF avg1.10.70.91.81.01.4
GA total182442162743
GA avg1.51.71.61.22.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC St. PauliSC Freiburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%81%69%81%
1.527%50%46%46%
2.54%23%19%23%
3.50%8%8%8%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC St. PauliSC Freiburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets235235
Failed to score5611178

Penalties

MetricFC St. PauliSC Freiburg
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricFC St. PauliSC Freiburg
Wins22
Draws23
Losses92

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-00-3
Biggest losses0-44-01-36-2
Goals For3244
Goals Against4436

Model comparison

MetricFC St. PauliSC Freiburg
Form64%36%
Att38%63%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h20%80%
Goals38%62%
Total45.7%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.86 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away2.88 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.94 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC St. Pauli = 1.45 (league 1.59), SC Freiburg = 1.05 (league 1.43)

SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC St. Pauli 0 8.2% 8.6% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.9% 12.5% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.1% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 27.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1