Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 13:30 • Europa-Park Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.62) 2.66 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.7% 15.6% 67.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
9.1%
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 3
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg 0 2.6% 6.8% 9.1% 8.1% 5.4% 2.9%
1 2.6% 6.8% 9.1% 8.1% 5.4% 2.9%
2 1.3% 3.4% 4.5% 4.0% 2.7% 1.4%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC FreiburgBayern München
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack37%79%
Defense58%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Freiburg Bayern München
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins54%21%37%86%77%81%
Draws31%21%26%7%23%15%
Loses15%57%37%7%0%4%

Form: SC Freiburg: LLWWDDDLDWLWLDWWLDWLWLWLDLW • Bayern München: WWWWWWWWWDWWWDWWWWLDWWWWWDW

League goals

Metric SC Freiburg Bayern München
HATHAT
GF total241539564197
GF avg1.81.11.44.03.23.6
GA total162844131225
GA avg1.22.01.60.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC FreiburgBayern München
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%81%100%63%
1.548%44%93%30%
2.519%22%78%0%
3.57%7%44%0%
4.50%4%26%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC FreiburgBayern München
HATHAT
Clean sheets2355510
Failed to score178000

Penalties

MetricSC FreiburgBayern München
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%11 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total511

Streaks

MetricSC FreiburgBayern München
Wins29
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-38-10-5
Biggest losses1-36-21-2
Goals For4485
Goals Against3622

Model comparison

MetricSC FreiburgBayern München
Form35%65%
Att32%68%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h7%93%
Goals25%75%
Total28.0%72.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bayern München

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.50 @ Bet365
Draw5.60 @ Pinnacle
Away1.44 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.38 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Freiburg = 1.00 (league 1.62), Bayern München = 2.66 (league 1.44)

Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg 0 2.6% 6.8% 9.1% 8.1% 5.4% 2.9%
1 2.6% 6.8% 9.1% 8.1% 5.4% 2.9%
2 1.3% 3.4% 4.5% 4.0% 2.7% 1.4%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.7% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 67.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1