Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 13:30 • Volksparkstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.63) 0.90 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.8% 23.7% 19.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
FC Augsburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 7.2% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.5% 11.3% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.2% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamburger SVFC Augsburg
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack32%42%
Defense58%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamburger SV FC Augsburg
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins36%15%26%43%23%33%
Draws36%31%33%21%8%15%
Loses29%54%41%36%69%52%

Form: Hamburger SV: DLLWDWLLLDLWWLDLDDDWWDLLWDL • FC Augsburg: WLLLLWDLLLWLWLDLDDWWLWWWLLL

League goals

Metric Hamburger SV FC Augsburg
HATHAT
GF total201131191433
GF avg1.40.81.11.41.11.2
GA total172340242650
GA avg1.21.81.51.72.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamburger SVFC Augsburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%70%81%
1.533%41%41%52%
2.511%15%11%26%
3.54%11%0%15%
4.50%4%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamburger SVFC Augsburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets246505
Failed to score459358

Penalties

MetricHamburger SVFC Augsburg
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricHamburger SVFC Augsburg
Wins23
Draws32
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-11-3
Biggest losses0-25-00-64-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against2564

Model comparison

MetricHamburger SVFC Augsburg
Form40%60%
Att43%57%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Augsburg

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ 1xBet
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away3.24 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.08 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.26 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamburger SV = 1.72 (league 1.63), FC Augsburg = 0.90 (league 1.46)

FC Augsburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 7.2% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.5% 11.3% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.2% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.8% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 19.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1