Bundesliga
— Germany
Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 13:30 •
PreZero Arena
Expected Goals
2.56 (league 1.63)
0.98 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9% | 16.2% | 12.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
9.3%
3 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| FSV Mainz 05 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | 1899 Hoffenheim | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 37% | 42% |
| Defense | 42% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | 1899 Hoffenheim | FSV Mainz 05 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 62% | 50% | 56% | 29% | 23% | 26% |
| Draws | 8% | 29% | 19% | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Loses | 31% | 21% | 26% | 36% | 46% | 41% |
1899 HoffenheimWLWLDLWWWWDWLWDWWWWWLWDLWDL
FSV Mainz 05LDLWLLLLDLDLLDDDWLWWWLDDDWW
League goals
| Metric | 1899 Hoffenheim | FSV Mainz 05 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 26 | 54 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 15 | 24 | 39 | 17 | 25 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | 1899 Hoffenheim | FSV Mainz 05 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 78% | 67% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 33% | 41% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 15% | 11% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 11% | 4% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | 1899 Hoffenheim | FSV Mainz 05 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | 1899 Hoffenheim | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | 1899 Hoffenheim | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | 1899 Hoffenheim | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 43.3% | 56.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.88 @ Dafabet
Draw4.08 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.73 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.65 @ Superbet
No2.30 @ Unibet
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League standings
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