Bundesliga — Germany
Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 13:30 • Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.62) 0.78 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.2% 26.6% 19.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
FC St. Pauli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin 0 10.6% 8.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.6% 12.1% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.4% 8.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion BerlinFC St. Pauli
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack16%21%
Defense53%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Berlin FC St. Pauli
HATHAT
Played131427131427
Wins31%29%30%31%14%22%
Draws38%14%26%31%14%22%
Loses31%57%44%38%71%56%

Form: Union Berlin: WLLWDLWLDDWLLWWDDDLLDLWLLWL • FC St. Pauli: DWWLLLLLLLLLDWDLLDDLWLWWDLL

League goals

Metric Union Berlin FC St. Pauli
HATHAT
GF total181331141024
GF avg1.40.91.11.10.70.9
GA total212546202444
GA avg1.61.81.71.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion BerlinFC St. Pauli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%78%59%81%
1.530%48%26%52%
2.511%33%4%22%
3.54%11%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion BerlinFC St. Pauli
HATHAT
Clean sheets336235
Failed to score3585611

Penalties

MetricUnion BerlinFC St. Pauli
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricUnion BerlinFC St. Pauli
Wins22
Draws32
Losses29

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-42-10-2
Biggest losses1-44-00-44-0
Goals For3432
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricUnion BerlinFC St. Pauli
Form46%54%
Att43%57%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h80%20%
Goals54%46%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Union Berlin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.90 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.60 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Berlin = 1.47 (league 1.62), FC St. Pauli = 0.78 (league 1.44)

FC St. Pauli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin 0 10.6% 8.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.6% 12.1% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.4% 8.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 19.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1