Bundesliga
— Germany
Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 17:30 •
Mewa Arena
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.63)
0.90 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.1% | 26.5% | 23.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| SC Freiburg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 9.4% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Attack | 64% | 50% |
| Defense | 64% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | SC Freiburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 29% | 29% | 29% | 50% | 21% | 36% |
| Draws | 36% | 29% | 32% | 29% | 21% | 25% |
| Loses | 36% | 43% | 39% | 21% | 57% | 39% |
FSV Mainz 05LDLWLLLLDLDLLDDDWLWWWLDDDWWW
SC FreiburgLLWWDDDLDWLWLDWWLDWLWLWLDLWL
League goals
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | SC Freiburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 18 | 35 | 26 | 15 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 17 | 26 | 43 | 19 | 28 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FSV Mainz 05 | SC Freiburg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 89% | 71% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 36% | 50% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 14% | 18% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 14% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | SC Freiburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 51.5% | 48.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.38 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ William Hill
Away3.40 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.89 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.07 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ 10Bet
No2.31 @ 188Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…