Bundesliga
— Germany
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:30 •
WWK Arena
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.63)
2.19 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.2% | 20.1% | 41.7% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.4%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Eintracht Frankfurt | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Augsburg | 0 | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
FC Augsburg carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 26 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: FC Augsburg +5.6, Eintracht Frankfurt -6.1.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
FC Augsburg
vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
Elo gapFC Augsburg +26
Home / draw / away39% / 27% / 34%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo3033
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3033
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | FC Augsburg | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1512.2 | 1520.8 |
| Form Elo | 1522.7 | 1526.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1482 | 1502.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1474.4 | 1616.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1488.9 | 1427.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +5.6 | -6.1 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. FC Augsburg last-5 Elo change: +5.6; Eintracht Frankfurt last-5 Elo change: -6.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Augsburg | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 37% | 37% |
| Defense | 42% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Augsburg | Eintracht Frankfurt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 40% | 27% | 33% | 47% | 27% | 37% |
| Draws | 27% | 13% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Loses | 33% | 60% | 47% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
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Eintracht FrankfurtWWLLWLDWDWWDLWDDLDLLDWLWDWLDWL
League goals
| Metric | FC Augsburg | Eintracht Frankfurt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 17 | 38 | 26 | 29 | 55 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 26 | 28 | 54 | 23 | 34 | 57 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Augsburg | Eintracht Frankfurt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 83% | 90% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 50% | 50% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 23% | 27% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 10% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Augsburg | Eintracht Frankfurt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Augsburg | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Augsburg | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 4-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Augsburg | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.63 @ Betfair
Draw3.84 @ 1xBet
Away2.70 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.80 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…