Bundesliga
— Germany
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:30 •
Volksparkstadion
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.64)
1.55 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.3% | 24.2% | 39.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| 1899 Hoffenheim | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hamburger SV | 0 | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hamburger SV | 1899 Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 33% |
| Attack | 36% | 43% |
| Defense | 14% | 21% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hamburger SV | 1899 Hoffenheim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 33% | 13% | 23% | 60% | 47% | 53% |
| Draws | 40% | 27% | 33% | 7% | 33% | 20% |
| Loses | 27% | 60% | 43% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
Hamburger SVDLLWDWLLLDLWWLDLDDDWWDLLWDLDLL
1899 HoffenheimWLWLDLWWWWDWLWDWWWWWLWDLWDLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Hamburger SV | 1899 Hoffenheim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 12 | 33 | 31 | 28 | 59 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 18 | 30 | 48 | 18 | 26 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hamburger SV | 1899 Hoffenheim | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 80% | 83% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 20% | 40% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 13% | 13% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hamburger SV | 1899 Hoffenheim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hamburger SV | 1899 Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hamburger SV | 1899 Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hamburger SV | 1899 Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 48% | 52% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 44.3% | 55.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.75 @ Betano
Draw4.47 @ 1xBet
Away1.74 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.63 @ Betfair
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League standings
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