Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 16:30 • SchücoArena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
6.00 (league 1.57) 2.64 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.5% 6.5% 6.2%
best score tips
5 - 2
4.0%
5 - 3
3.5%
4 - 2
3.3%
Score & goals probability table
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arminia Bielefeld 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
2 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.6% 1.7% 2.2% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%
4 1.0% 2.5% 3.3% 2.9% 1.9% 1.0%
5 1.1% 3.0% 4.0% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArminia BielefeldSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack79%71%
Defense71%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.814 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

66%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arminia Bielefeld SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins67%50%60%33%50%40%
Draws0%50%20%0%0%0%
Loses33%0%20%67%50%60%

Form: Arminia Bielefeld: WWLDW • SpVgg Greuther Fürth: WLLWL

League goals

Metric Arminia Bielefeld SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HATHAT
GF total83113710
GF avg2.71.52.21.03.52.0
GA total3147714
GA avg1.00.50.82.33.52.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArminia BielefeldSpVgg Greuther Fürth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%60%100%
1.560%20%60%100%
2.520%0%40%60%
3.520%0%20%20%
4.520%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArminia BielefeldSpVgg Greuther Fürth
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricArminia BielefeldSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricArminia BielefeldSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Wins21
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-23-24-5
Biggest losses1-20-33-2
Goals For5235
Goals Against2134

Model comparison

MetricArminia BielefeldSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Form63%38%
Att52%48%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total61.2%39.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Arminia Bielefeld and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Dafabet
Draw4.20 @ Marathonbet
Away4.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Dafabet
No2.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arminia Bielefeld = 6.00 (league 1.57), SpVgg Greuther Fürth = 2.64 (league 1.33)

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arminia Bielefeld 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
2 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.6% 1.7% 2.2% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%
4 1.0% 2.5% 3.3% 2.9% 1.9% 1.0%
5 1.1% 3.0% 4.0% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.5% · Draw 6.5% · Away win 6.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1