Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 11:00 • Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.57) 0.98 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.1% 33.3% 39.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.6%
0 - 1
17.3%
1 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Holstein Kiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
SV Elversberg 0 17.6% 17.3% 8.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.1% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.0% 4.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSV ElversbergHolstein Kiel
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack77%54%
Defense54%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SV Elversberg Holstein Kiel
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%67%67%33%67%50%
Draws33%0%17%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%17%67%33%50%

Form: SV Elversberg: WLWWDW • Holstein Kiel: LLWLWW

League goals

Metric SV Elversberg Holstein Kiel
HATHAT
GF total5611448
GF avg1.72.01.81.31.31.3
GA total336426
GA avg1.01.01.01.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSV ElversbergHolstein Kiel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%83%50%
1.567%33%33%50%
2.517%0%17%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSV ElversbergHolstein Kiel
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricSV ElversbergHolstein Kiel
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSV ElversbergHolstein Kiel
Wins21
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-43-00-2
Biggest losses2-00-22-1
Goals For2432
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricSV ElversbergHolstein Kiel
Form53%47%
Att59%41%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : SV Elversberg or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ 188Bet
Draw3.87 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Betfair
No2.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SV Elversberg = 0.76 (league 1.57), Holstein Kiel = 0.98 (league 1.33)

Holstein Kiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
SV Elversberg 0 17.6% 17.3% 8.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.1% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.0% 4.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.1% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 39.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1