Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 16:30 • Merkur Spiel-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.57) 0.90 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.9% 32.1% 31.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.4%
1 - 0
15.0%
0 - 1
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
1. FC Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Düsseldorf 0 15.4% 13.8% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.5% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.3% 6.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna Düsseldorf1. FC Nürnberg
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack36%29%
Defense64%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Düsseldorf 1. FC Nürnberg
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%75%43%25%0%14%
Draws33%0%14%25%0%14%
Loses67%25%43%50%100%71%

Form: Fortuna Düsseldorf: LLWDWLW • 1. FC Nürnberg: LLLDLWL

League goals

Metric Fortuna Düsseldorf 1. FC Nürnberg
HATHAT
GF total066224
GF avg0.01.50.90.50.70.6
GA total57125510
GA avg1.71.81.71.31.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna Düsseldorf1. FC Nürnberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%43%86%
1.529%43%14%43%
2.50%29%0%14%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna Düsseldorf1. FC Nürnberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score303314

Penalties

MetricFortuna Düsseldorf1. FC Nürnberg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFortuna Düsseldorf1. FC Nürnberg
Wins11
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-22-1
Biggest losses0-35-10-32-1
Goals For0221
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricFortuna Düsseldorf1. FC Nürnberg
Form71%29%
Att56%44%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h62%38%
Goals62%38%
Total62.6%37.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away2.75 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.44 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Düsseldorf = 0.97 (league 1.57), 1. FC Nürnberg = 0.90 (league 1.33)

1. FC Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Düsseldorf 0 15.4% 13.8% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.5% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.3% 6.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.9% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 31.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1