Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:00 • Holstein-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.57) 1.67 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.4% 24.2% 56.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.8%
0 - 2
11.5%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
SV Darmstadt 98
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 8.3% 13.8% 11.5% 6.4% 2.7% 0.9%
1 6.8% 11.4% 9.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.8% 4.7% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHolstein KielSV Darmstadt 98
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack37%42%
Defense84%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Holstein Kiel SV Darmstadt 98
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%50%43%75%67%71%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%14%
Loses67%50%57%0%33%14%

Form: Holstein Kiel: LLWLWWL • SV Darmstadt 98: WWDLWWW

League goals

Metric Holstein Kiel SV Darmstadt 98
HATHAT
GF total4488513
GF avg1.31.01.12.01.71.9
GA total437235
GA avg1.30.81.00.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHolstein KielSV Darmstadt 98
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%86%43%
1.529%43%57%14%
2.514%0%29%14%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHolstein KielSV Darmstadt 98
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricHolstein KielSV Darmstadt 98
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHolstein KielSV Darmstadt 98
Wins22
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-10-3
Biggest losses0-22-13-1
Goals For3243
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricHolstein KielSV Darmstadt 98
Form47%53%
Att47%53%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SV Darmstadt 98

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away2.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.51 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Holstein Kiel = 0.83 (league 1.57), SV Darmstadt 98 = 1.67 (league 1.33)

SV Darmstadt 98
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 8.3% 13.8% 11.5% 6.4% 2.7% 0.9%
1 6.8% 11.4% 9.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.8% 4.7% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.4% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 56.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1