Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 11:30 • Max-Morlock-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.25 (league 1.57) 0.98 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.5% 36.8% 53.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.1%
0 - 1
28.5%
0 - 2
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Holstein Kiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
1. FC Nürnberg 0 29.1% 28.5% 14.0% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2%
1 7.4% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric1. FC NürnbergHolstein Kiel
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack25%25%
Defense67%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric 1. FC Nürnberg Holstein Kiel
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%25%50%38%
Draws25%0%13%25%0%13%
Loses50%75%63%50%50%50%

Form: 1. FC Nürnberg: LLLDLWLW • Holstein Kiel: LLWLWWLD

League goals

Metric 1. FC Nürnberg Holstein Kiel
HATHAT
GF total257549
GF avg0.51.30.91.31.01.1
GA total5712538
GA avg1.31.81.51.30.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line1. FC NürnbergHolstein Kiel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%88%75%63%
1.525%50%25%38%
2.513%13%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric1. FC NürnbergHolstein Kiel
HATHAT
Clean sheets101123
Failed to score314112

Penalties

Metric1. FC NürnbergHolstein Kiel
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

Metric1. FC NürnbergHolstein Kiel
Wins12
Draws10
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-33-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-10-22-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

Metric1. FC NürnbergHolstein Kiel
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total34.2%65.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Holstein Kiel and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away2.80 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Unibet
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): 1. FC Nürnberg = 0.25 (league 1.57), Holstein Kiel = 0.98 (league 1.33)

Holstein Kiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
1. FC Nürnberg 0 29.1% 28.5% 14.0% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2%
1 7.4% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.5% · Draw 36.8% · Away win 53.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1