Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 12:30 • Max-Morlock-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.56) 1.69 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.0% 24.1% 52.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
0 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Arminia Bielefeld
0 1 2 3 4 5
1. FC Nürnberg 0 6.6% 11.2% 9.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.8%
1 6.8% 11.5% 9.7% 5.5% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.5% 5.9% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric1. FC NürnbergArminia Bielefeld
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack75%100%
Defense50%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric 1. FC Nürnberg Arminia Bielefeld
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins33%33%33%57%20%42%
Draws33%17%25%0%40%17%
Loses33%50%42%43%40%42%

Form: 1. FC Nürnberg: LLLDLWLWDDWW • Arminia Bielefeld: WWLDWLLLLWDW

League goals

Metric 1. FC Nürnberg Arminia Bielefeld
HATHAT
GF total581316925
GF avg0.81.31.12.31.82.1
GA total791681018
GA avg1.21.51.31.12.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line1. FC NürnbergArminia Bielefeld
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%92%100%67%
1.533%33%58%50%
2.58%8%25%25%
3.50%0%17%8%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric1. FC NürnbergArminia Bielefeld
HATHAT
Clean sheets101314
Failed to score314000

Penalties

Metric1. FC NürnbergArminia Bielefeld
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

Metric1. FC NürnbergArminia Bielefeld
Wins12
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-35-10-2
Biggest losses0-32-11-33-1
Goals For2353
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

Metric1. FC NürnbergArminia Bielefeld
Form61%39%
Att43%57%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total46.5%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arminia Bielefeld

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ 188Bet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away3.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Betano
Under 2.52.29 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Pinnacle
No2.48 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): 1. FC Nürnberg = 1.03 (league 1.56), Arminia Bielefeld = 1.69 (league 1.28)

Arminia Bielefeld
0 1 2 3 4 5
1. FC Nürnberg 0 6.6% 11.2% 9.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.8%
1 6.8% 11.5% 9.7% 5.5% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.5% 5.9% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 52.0%

Vtot 18 , Vtod1