Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 12:00 • Holstein-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.56) 1.33 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.3% 28.6% 53.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.0%
0 - 0
14.3%
0 - 2
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Hertha BSC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 14.3% 19.0% 12.6% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.8% 11.7% 7.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 2.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHolstein KielHertha BSC
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack28%39%
Defense56%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Holstein Kiel Hertha BSC
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%29%31%57%50%54%
Draws33%14%23%14%17%15%
Loses33%57%46%29%33%31%

Form: Holstein Kiel: LLWLWWLDDDLWL • Hertha BSC: LDDLWLWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Holstein Kiel Hertha BSC
HATHAT
GF total771461016
GF avg1.21.01.10.91.71.2
GA total610165510
GA avg1.01.41.20.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHolstein KielHertha BSC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%69%69%38%
1.515%38%38%31%
2.58%8%15%8%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHolstein KielHertha BSC
HATHAT
Clean sheets224448
Failed to score112314

Penalties

MetricHolstein KielHertha BSC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricHolstein KielHertha BSC
Wins22
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-10-23-2
Goals For3223
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricHolstein KielHertha BSC
Form29%71%
Att42%58%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h20%80%
Goals44%56%
Total32.7%67.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hertha BSC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.44 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Holstein Kiel = 0.62 (league 1.56), Hertha BSC = 1.33 (league 1.28)

Hertha BSC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 14.3% 19.0% 12.6% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.8% 11.7% 7.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 2.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 53.8%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1