Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 17:30 • Veltins Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.56) 0.51 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.1% 49.3% 29.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
40.9%
0 - 1
20.8%
1 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
SC Paderborn 07
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Schalke 04 0 40.9% 20.8% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.8% 8.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Schalke 04SC Paderborn 07
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack33%50%
Defense89%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Schalke 04 SC Paderborn 07
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins83%57%69%71%67%69%
Draws0%14%8%0%33%15%
Loses17%29%23%29%0%15%

Form: FC Schalke 04: WLWWLWWWWWLWD • SC Paderborn 07: WDLDWWWWWWWWL

League goals

Metric FC Schalke 04 SC Paderborn 07
HATHAT
GF total791612820
GF avg1.21.31.21.71.31.5
GA total3479312
GA avg0.50.60.51.30.50.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Schalke 04SC Paderborn 07
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%46%85%62%
1.538%8%54%23%
2.58%0%8%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Schalke 04SC Paderborn 07
HATHAT
Clean sheets347235
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricFC Schalke 04SC Paderborn 07
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricFC Schalke 04SC Paderborn 07
Wins58
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-2—
Goals For2342
Goals Against1231

Model comparison

MetricFC Schalke 04SC Paderborn 07
Form45%55%
Att40%60%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FC Schalke 04 or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Schalke 04 = 0.39 (league 1.56), SC Paderborn 07 = 0.51 (league 1.28)

SC Paderborn 07
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Schalke 04 0 40.9% 20.8% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.8% 8.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.1% · Draw 49.3% · Away win 29.6%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1