Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 12:30 • Max-Morlock-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.55) 1.47 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.1% 22.0% 29.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 1 2 3 4 5
1. FC Nürnberg 0 3.3% 4.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.4% 9.5% 7.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.0% 5.9% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric1. FC NürnbergSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack41%29%
Defense65%24%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric 1. FC Nürnberg SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%29%36%29%29%29%
Draws29%14%21%14%0%7%
Loses29%57%43%57%71%64%

Form: 1. FC Nürnberg: LLLDLWLWDDWWWL • SpVgg Greuther Fürth: WLLWLWLDLLLWLL

League goals

Metric 1. FC Nürnberg SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HATHAT
GF total781571320
GF avg1.01.11.11.01.91.4
GA total71219162137
GA avg1.01.71.42.33.02.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line1. FC NürnbergSpVgg Greuther Fürth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%86%64%93%
1.536%36%43%79%
2.57%14%21%50%
3.50%0%7%29%
4.50%0%7%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric1. FC NürnbergSpVgg Greuther Fürth
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score325325

Penalties

Metric1. FC NürnbergSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

Metric1. FC NürnbergSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Wins31
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-33-21-3
Biggest losses0-33-01-46-0
Goals For2335
Goals Against3346

Model comparison

Metric1. FC NürnbergSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Form77%23%
Att58%42%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals69%31%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Double chance : 1. FC Nürnberg or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw4.20 @ 188Bet
Away4.33 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.48 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): 1. FC Nürnberg = 1.93 (league 1.55), SpVgg Greuther Fürth = 1.47 (league 1.29)

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 1 2 3 4 5
1. FC Nürnberg 0 3.3% 4.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.4% 9.5% 7.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.0% 5.9% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 29.0%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1