Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 17:30 • Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.55) 2.85 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.6% 10.2% 79.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
15.0%
0 - 3
14.2%
0 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Hertha BSC
0 1 2 3 4 5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 3.7% 10.5% 15.0% 14.2% 10.1% 5.8%
1 1.7% 4.7% 6.8% 6.4% 4.6% 2.6%
2 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthHertha BSC
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack38%31%
Defense31%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SpVgg Greuther Fürth Hertha BSC
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%25%27%50%57%53%
Draws14%13%13%13%14%13%
Loses57%63%60%38%29%33%

Form: SpVgg Greuther Fürth: WLLWLWLDLLLWLLD • Hertha BSC: LDDLWLWWLWWWWWL

League goals

Metric SpVgg Greuther Fürth Hertha BSC
HATHAT
GF total7152261117
GF avg1.01.91.50.81.61.1
GA total1623397512
GA avg2.32.92.60.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpVgg Greuther FürthHertha BSC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%93%67%40%
1.547%80%33%33%
2.520%47%13%7%
3.57%27%0%0%
4.57%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthHertha BSC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101459
Failed to score325415

Penalties

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthHertha BSC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthHertha BSC
Wins15
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-32-00-3
Biggest losses1-46-00-23-2
Goals For3523
Goals Against4623

Model comparison

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthHertha BSC
Form25%75%
Att55%45%
Def15%85%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total30.5%69.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hertha BSC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.20 @ Betano
Draw3.81 @ Pinnacle
Away1.90 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.17 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.28 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SpVgg Greuther Fürth = 0.45 (league 1.55), Hertha BSC = 2.85 (league 1.29)

Hertha BSC
0 1 2 3 4 5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 3.7% 10.5% 15.0% 14.2% 10.1% 5.8%
1 1.7% 4.7% 6.8% 6.4% 4.6% 2.6%
2 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.6% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 79.2%

vtt 10 , vtd1