Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 12:00 • Merkur Spiel-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.55) 2.64 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.8% 17.6% 56.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 3
7.3%
1 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Düsseldorf 0 1.6% 4.2% 5.6% 4.9% 3.3% 1.7%
1 2.4% 6.3% 8.3% 7.3% 4.9% 2.6%
2 1.8% 4.7% 6.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.9%
3 0.9% 2.3% 3.1% 2.7% 1.8% 1.0%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna DüsseldorfSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack33%89%
Defense22%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Düsseldorf SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins13%38%25%25%25%25%
Draws25%0%13%25%13%19%
Loses63%63%63%50%63%56%

Form: Fortuna Düsseldorf: LLWDWLWLLLDLWLLL • SpVgg Greuther Fürth: WLLWLWLDLLLWLLDD

League goals

Metric Fortuna Düsseldorf SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HATHAT
GF total6713101525
GF avg0.80.90.81.31.91.6
GA total141226192342
GA avg1.81.51.62.42.92.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna DüsseldorfSpVgg Greuther Fürth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%88%69%94%
1.525%44%50%81%
2.50%19%25%50%
3.50%6%6%25%
4.50%6%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna DüsseldorfSpVgg Greuther Fürth
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score437325

Penalties

MetricFortuna DüsseldorfSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFortuna DüsseldorfSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Wins11
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-21-3
Biggest losses0-35-11-46-0
Goals For2235
Goals Against3546

Model comparison

MetricFortuna DüsseldorfSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Form38%63%
Att27%73%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h40%60%
Goals45%55%
Total41.7%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SpVgg Greuther Fürth

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betano
Draw3.97 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Unibet
No2.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Betano
Under 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Düsseldorf = 1.49 (league 1.55), SpVgg Greuther Fürth = 2.64 (league 1.29)

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Düsseldorf 0 1.6% 4.2% 5.6% 4.9% 3.3% 1.7%
1 2.4% 6.3% 8.3% 7.3% 4.9% 2.6%
2 1.8% 4.7% 6.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.9%
3 0.9% 2.3% 3.1% 2.7% 1.8% 1.0%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.8% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 56.9%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1