Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 17:30 • Olympiastadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.55) 0.90 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.9% 32.0% 32.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.2%
1 - 0
14.9%
0 - 1
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Arminia Bielefeld
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hertha BSC 0 15.2% 13.8% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.9% 13.5% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.3% 6.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHertha BSCArminia Bielefeld
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack67%56%
Defense44%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hertha BSC Arminia Bielefeld
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins50%50%50%44%14%31%
Draws13%25%19%11%29%19%
Loses38%25%31%44%57%50%

Form: Hertha BSC: LDDLWLWWLWWWWWLD • Arminia Bielefeld: WWLDWLLLLWDWLLLD

League goals

Metric Hertha BSC Arminia Bielefeld
HATHAT
GF total6142017926
GF avg0.81.81.31.91.31.6
GA total7815101323
GA avg0.91.00.91.11.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHertha BSCArminia Bielefeld
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%44%81%69%
1.538%38%44%50%
2.519%13%19%19%
3.50%0%13%6%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHertha BSCArminia Bielefeld
HATHAT
Clean sheets459415
Failed to score415123

Penalties

MetricHertha BSCArminia Bielefeld
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricHertha BSCArminia Bielefeld
Wins52
Draws21
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-35-10-2
Biggest losses0-23-21-33-1
Goals For2353
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricHertha BSCArminia Bielefeld
Form71%29%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h62%38%
Goals71%29%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Hertha BSC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ 188Bet
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away4.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.39 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hertha BSC = 0.98 (league 1.55), Arminia Bielefeld = 0.90 (league 1.29)

Arminia Bielefeld
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hertha BSC 0 15.2% 13.8% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.9% 13.5% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.3% 6.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.9% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 32.0%

Vtot 24 , Vtod1