Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 19:30 • Holstein-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.55) 1.08 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.9% 27.7% 31.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.0%
0 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Dynamo Dresden
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 9.3% 10.1% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.0% 13.0% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.7% 8.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHolstein KielDynamo Dresden
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack67%89%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Holstein Kiel Dynamo Dresden
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins29%22%25%13%25%19%
Draws29%33%31%25%25%25%
Loses43%44%44%63%50%56%

Form: Holstein Kiel: LLWLWWLDDDLWLLDD • Dynamo Dresden: LLWLDDLDDLLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Holstein Kiel Dynamo Dresden
HATHAT
GF total71118121123
GF avg1.01.21.11.51.41.4
GA total71421161632
GA avg1.01.61.32.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHolstein KielDynamo Dresden
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%75%81%100%
1.519%38%56%75%
2.513%13%6%25%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHolstein KielDynamo Dresden
HATHAT
Clean sheets224000
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricHolstein KielDynamo Dresden
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHolstein KielDynamo Dresden
Wins22
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-11-2
Biggest losses0-24-12-33-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricHolstein KielDynamo Dresden
Form45%55%
Att43%57%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h93%7%
Goals82%18%
Total62.2%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : Holstein Kiel or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Unibet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away4.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Holstein Kiel = 1.29 (league 1.55), Dynamo Dresden = 1.08 (league 1.29)

Dynamo Dresden
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 9.3% 10.1% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.0% 13.0% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.7% 8.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 31.1%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1