Sat, Jan 31 2026 • 12:00 •
Holstein-Stadion
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.61)
1.11 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.6% | 21.3% | 20.3% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Holstein Kiel | 0 | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 71% | 43% |
| Defense | 50% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 44% | 20% | 32% | 22% | 20% | 21% |
| Draws | 22% | 40% | 32% | 33% | 10% | 21% |
| Loses | 33% | 40% | 37% | 44% | 70% | 58% |
Holstein KielLLWLWWLDDDLWLLDDWWD
SpVgg Greuther FürthWLLWLWLDLLLWLLDDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 10 | 16 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 8 | 16 | 24 | 19 | 27 | 46 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Holstein Kiel | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 74% | 63% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 37% | 42% | 79% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 21% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 65.3% | 34.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw4.13 @ Pinnacle
Away5.31 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ Betano
Under 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Betfair
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League standings
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