Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 12:00 • Holstein-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.55) 1.59 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.0% 25.1% 50.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
11.8%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
SV Elversberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 7.4% 11.8% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.8% 6.0% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHolstein KielSV Elversberg
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack32%47%
Defense37%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Holstein Kiel SV Elversberg
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins36%17%26%55%58%57%
Draws18%33%26%36%8%22%
Loses45%50%48%9%33%22%

Form: Holstein Kiel: LLWLWWLDDDLWLLDDWWDLLLL • SV Elversberg: WLWWDWWWWLDLWDWWDLDWLWW

League goals

Metric Holstein Kiel SV Elversberg
HATHAT
GF total131528192342
GF avg1.21.31.21.71.91.8
GA total122234101525
GA avg1.11.81.50.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHolstein KielSV Elversberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%78%78%70%
1.526%48%57%30%
2.59%17%26%9%
3.50%4%13%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHolstein KielSV Elversberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets325527
Failed to score213235

Penalties

MetricHolstein KielSV Elversberg
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricHolstein KielSV Elversberg
Wins24
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-26-00-4
Biggest losses0-24-10-32-0
Goals For3364
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricHolstein KielSV Elversberg
Form9%91%
Att40%60%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total35.3%64.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SV Elversberg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.55 @ 10Bet
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ SBO
Under 2.52.14 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Pinnacle
No2.36 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Holstein Kiel = 1.01 (league 1.55), SV Elversberg = 1.59 (league 1.32)

SV Elversberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 7.4% 11.8% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.8% 6.0% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.0% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 50.3%

vtt 4 , vtd1