Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 12:00 • Holstein-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.57) 0.76 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.2% 28.8% 21.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
1. FC Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 12.8% 9.7% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 12.6% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 8.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHolstein Kiel1. FC Nürnberg
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack25%50%
Defense31%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Holstein Kiel 1. FC Nürnberg
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%15%24%46%17%32%
Draws25%31%28%31%17%24%
Loses42%54%48%23%67%44%

Form: Holstein Kiel: LLWLWWLDDDLWLLDDWWDLLLLDL • 1. FC Nürnberg: LLLDLWLWDDWWWLDLWWLDLWDLL

League goals

Metric Holstein Kiel 1. FC Nürnberg
HATHAT
GF total141529201131
GF avg1.21.21.21.50.91.2
GA total132437152035
GA avg1.11.81.51.21.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHolstein Kiel1. FC Nürnberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%80%68%92%
1.524%48%36%40%
2.58%16%12%8%
3.50%4%4%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHolstein Kiel1. FC Nürnberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets325202
Failed to score224448

Penalties

MetricHolstein Kiel1. FC Nürnberg
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricHolstein Kiel1. FC Nürnberg
Wins23
Draws32
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-12-3
Biggest losses0-24-10-33-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricHolstein Kiel1. FC Nürnberg
Form20%80%
Att33%67%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total48.2%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : Holstein Kiel or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away2.86 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Holstein Kiel = 1.30 (league 1.57), 1. FC Nürnberg = 0.76 (league 1.31)

1. FC Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 12.8% 9.7% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 12.6% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 8.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.2% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 21.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1