Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 11:30 • Holstein-Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.58) 0.82 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.5% 26.9% 21.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Preußen Münster
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 10.4% 8.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 12.3% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.9% 8.9% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHolstein KielPreußen Münster
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack33%29%
Defense48%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Holstein Kiel Preußen Münster
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins31%21%26%21%23%22%
Draws23%29%26%43%15%30%
Loses46%50%48%36%62%48%

Form: Holstein Kiel: LLWLWWLDDDLWLLDDWWDLLLLDLLW • Preußen Münster: LDWWLLWLDLWLDWDLDLLDDDLWLLL

League goals

Metric Holstein Kiel Preußen Münster
HATHAT
GF total161834191231
GF avg1.21.31.31.40.91.1
GA total162642222547
GA avg1.21.91.61.61.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHolstein KielPreußen Münster
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%81%74%93%
1.530%52%37%48%
2.511%19%4%19%
3.50%4%0%7%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHolstein KielPreußen Münster
HATHAT
Clean sheets325112
Failed to score224257

Penalties

MetricHolstein KielPreußen Münster
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricHolstein KielPreußen Münster
Wins22
Draws33
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-11-2
Biggest losses0-24-11-36-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3436

Model comparison

MetricHolstein KielPreußen Münster
Form57%43%
Att54%46%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h25%75%
Goals29%71%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Preußen Münster

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Unibet
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away3.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.18 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.32 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Holstein Kiel = 1.44 (league 1.58), Preußen Münster = 0.82 (league 1.32)

Preußen Münster
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 10.4% 8.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 12.3% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.9% 8.9% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.5% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 21.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1