Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 11:00 • Preussenstadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.57) 1.84 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.4% 20.6% 32.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
1 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Preußen Münster 0 1.9% 3.5% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4.0% 7.4% 6.8% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 3.1% 5.6% 5.2% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5%
4 1.6% 3.0% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPreußen MünsterSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack57%86%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Preußen Münster SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins21%21%21%29%29%29%
Draws43%21%32%29%7%18%
Loses36%57%46%43%64%54%

Form: Preußen Münster: LDWWLLWLDLWLDWDLDLLDDDLWLLLD • SpVgg Greuther Fürth: WLLWLWLDLLLWLLDDLLDWLLWDWWLL

League goals

Metric Preußen Münster SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HATHAT
GF total191231192140
GF avg1.40.91.11.41.51.4
GA total222547283361
GA avg1.61.81.72.02.42.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePreußen MünsterSpVgg Greuther Fürth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%89%68%89%
1.536%46%46%64%
2.54%18%18%36%
3.50%7%7%18%
4.50%4%4%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPreußen MünsterSpVgg Greuther Fürth
HATHAT
Clean sheets123303
Failed to score268549

Penalties

MetricPreußen MünsterSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricPreußen MünsterSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Wins22
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-01-3
Biggest losses1-36-01-46-0
Goals For3245
Goals Against3656

Model comparison

MetricPreußen MünsterSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Form36%64%
Att40%60%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h33%67%
Goals38%63%
Total39.5%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SpVgg Greuther Fürth

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Preußen Münster = 2.14 (league 1.57), SpVgg Greuther Fürth = 1.84 (league 1.31)

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Preußen Münster 0 1.9% 3.5% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4.0% 7.4% 6.8% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 3.1% 5.6% 5.2% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5%
4 1.6% 3.0% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.4% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 32.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1