Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 16:30 •
Merkur Spiel-Arena
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.61)
1.87 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.4% | 22.6% | 52.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Dynamo Dresden | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 0 | 4.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Dynamo Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 60% |
| Attack | 19% | 69% |
| Defense | 19% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Dynamo Dresden | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 33% | 27% | 30% | 33% | 27% | 30% |
| Draws | 20% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 33% | 27% |
| Loses | 47% | 67% | 57% | 47% | 40% | 43% |
Fortuna DüsseldorfLLWDWLWLLLDLWLLLWWLWDDLWWLLLLL
Dynamo DresdenLLWLDDLDDLLLWWLLLWWDDLDWDWLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Dynamo Dresden | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 11 | 27 | 27 | 22 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 24 | 23 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Dynamo Dresden | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 83% | 83% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 43% | 57% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 13% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Dynamo Dresden | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Dynamo Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Dynamo Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 6-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 5-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Dynamo Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 21% | 79% |
| Def | 19% | 81% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 29.2% | 70.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.39 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ Betano
Under 2.52.21 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.35 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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