Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 16:30 • Stadion Grbavica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.45) 0.85 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.5% 20.7% 15.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.6%
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Velež
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0 5.8% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.6% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.7% 6.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZeljeznicar SarajevoVelež
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack29%29%
Defense79%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Velež
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%33%50%33%33%33%
Draws33%33%33%17%0%8%
Loses0%33%17%50%67%58%

Form: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo: DWDWWDWLWLWD • Velež: LDWLLLWLLWLW

League goals

Metric Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Velež
HATHAT
GF total103135712
GF avg1.70.51.10.81.21.0
GA total43761016
GA avg0.70.50.61.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZeljeznicar SarajevoVelež
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%58%83%
1.525%8%25%33%
2.58%0%17%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZeljeznicar SarajevoVelež
HATHAT
Clean sheets336202
Failed to score033235

Penalties

MetricZeljeznicar SarajevoVelež
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricZeljeznicar SarajevoVelež
Wins21
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-01-3
Biggest losses1-01-33-0
Goals For3123
Goals Against2133

Model comparison

MetricZeljeznicar SarajevoVelež
Form54%46%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Double chance : Zeljeznicar Sarajevo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Bet365
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away4.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.61 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zeljeznicar Sarajevo = 2.00 (league 1.45), Velež = 0.85 (league 0.99)

Velež
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0 5.8% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.6% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.7% 6.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.5% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 15.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1