Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 17:30 • Stadion Rodjeni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.43) 0.88 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.6% 28.2% 24.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
FK Sarajevo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Velež 0 11.1% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.6% 12.9% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVeležFK Sarajevo
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack56%67%
Defense89%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Velež FK Sarajevo
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins50%38%44%63%13%38%
Draws13%13%13%38%13%25%
Loses38%50%44%0%75%38%

Form: Velež: LDWLLLWLLWLWWWDW • FK Sarajevo: DLWLWLLWLDDWWWLD

League goals

Metric Velež FK Sarajevo
HATHAT
GF total791612921
GF avg0.91.11.01.51.11.3
GA total6111761723
GA avg0.81.41.10.82.11.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVeležFK Sarajevo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%69%81%63%
1.525%25%31%50%
2.513%13%13%13%
3.50%0%6%13%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVeležFK Sarajevo
HATHAT
Clean sheets415516
Failed to score246123

Penalties

MetricVeležFK Sarajevo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricVeležFK Sarajevo
Wins33
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-00-3
Biggest losses1-33-05-1
Goals For2343
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricVeležFK Sarajevo
Form57%43%
Att45%55%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h15%85%
Goals15%85%
Total42.7%57.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FK Sarajevo and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.88 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.82 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Velež = 1.32 (league 1.43), FK Sarajevo = 0.88 (league 1.00)

FK Sarajevo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Velež 0 11.1% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.6% 12.9% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.6% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 24.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1