Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:15 • Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.43) 0.55 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.8% 28.0% 14.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.1%
0 - 0
14.7%
2 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Velež
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zrinjski 0 14.7% 8.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 11.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 7.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZrinjskiVelež
Played55
Form80%73%
Attack47%24%
Defense76%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zrinjski Velež
HATHAT
Played88169817
Wins63%75%69%44%38%41%
Draws25%13%19%22%13%18%
Loses13%13%13%33%50%41%

Form: Zrinjski: DLWWWWDWDWWWWWLW • Velež: LDWLLLWLLWLWWWDWD

League goals

Metric Zrinjski Velež
HATHAT
GF total1112237916
GF avg1.41.51.40.81.10.9
GA total45961117
GA avg0.50.60.60.71.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZrinjskiVelež
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%44%59%65%
1.556%13%24%24%
2.513%0%12%12%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZrinjskiVelež
HATHAT
Clean sheets549516
Failed to score314347

Penalties

MetricZrinjskiVelež
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricZrinjskiVelež
Wins53
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-01-3
Biggest losses0-22-01-33-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricZrinjskiVelež
Form52%48%
Att67%33%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h100%0%
Goals88%13%
Total59.0%41.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Zrinjski or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw3.95 @ 188Bet
Away6.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zrinjski = 1.37 (league 1.43), Velež = 0.55 (league 1.00)

Velež
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zrinjski 0 14.7% 8.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 11.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 7.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.8% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 14.9%

vtt 8 , vtd1