Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 18:45 •
Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatović Hase
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.40)
0.79 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.6% | 24.6% | 18.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Velež | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FK Sarajevo | 0 | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FK Sarajevo | Velež |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 67% |
| Defense | 17% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FK Sarajevo | Velež | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 67% | 23% | 44% | 50% | 38% | 44% |
| Draws | 33% | 15% | 24% | 25% | 15% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 62% | 32% | 25% | 46% | 36% |
Form: FK Sarajevo: DLWLWLLWLDDWWWLDDWWWWWLDL • Velež: LDWLLLWLLWLWWWDWDDWDLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | FK Sarajevo | Velež | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 11 | 34 | 9 | 14 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 8 | 20 | 28 | 6 | 16 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FK Sarajevo | Velež | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 52% | 60% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 40% | 24% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FK Sarajevo | Velež | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | FK Sarajevo | Velež |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | FK Sarajevo | Velež |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FK Sarajevo | Velež |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 48.5% | 51.7% |
Advice: Double chance : FK Sarajevo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): FK Sarajevo = 1.63 (league 1.40), Velež = 0.79 (league 0.97)
| Velež | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FK Sarajevo | 0 | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.6% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 18.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1