Premijer Liga
— Bosnia
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:30 •
Gradski stadion Banja Luka
Expected Goals
3.18 (league 1.32)
0.22 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 82.4% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
best score tips
3 - 0
17.9%
2 - 0
16.9%
4 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Sloga Doboj | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Borac Banja Luka | 0 | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.9% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.9% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 14.2% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Borac Banja Luka carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 337 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Borac Banja Luka +11.7, Sloga Doboj -7.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Borac Banja Luka
vs
Sloga Doboj
Elo gapBorac Banja Luka +337
Home / draw / away71% / 18% / 11%
Expected home share87%
Combined Elo3125.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3125.3
Elo home share
87%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Borac Banja Luka | Sloga Doboj |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1713.5 | 1411.8 |
| Form Elo | 1734.3 | 1394 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1613.5 | 1464.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1745.6 | 1390.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1716.6 | 1441 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +11.7 | -7.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Borac Banja Luka last-5 Elo change: +11.7; Sloga Doboj last-5 Elo change: -7.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Borac Banja Luka | Sloga Doboj |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 22% |
| Defense | 67% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Borac Banja Luka | Sloga Doboj | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 87% | 60% | 73% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 7% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Loses | 7% | 20% | 13% | 47% | 60% | 53% |
Borac Banja LukaWDWWWLWWWWLWLWWWWWLDWWWWWWWWDD
Sloga DobojWWLLDDLWDLLLLDWDDLDLLLLLDWLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Borac Banja Luka | Sloga Doboj | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 45 | 23 | 68 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 40 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Borac Banja Luka | Sloga Doboj | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 50% | 37% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 10% | 17% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 3% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Borac Banja Luka | Sloga Doboj | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
Penalties
| Metric | Borac Banja Luka | Sloga Doboj |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Borac Banja Luka | Sloga Doboj |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Borac Banja Luka | Sloga Doboj |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 82% | 18% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 88% | 13% |
| Total | 82.6% | 17.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.19 @ Betano
Draw6.50 @ Bet365
Away15.50 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.48 @ Marathonbet
No1.55 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
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