Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 12:00 • Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.40) 0.33 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.3% 51.1% 18.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
43.6%
1 - 0
21.7%
0 - 1
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montpellier 0 43.6% 14.5% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.7% 7.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontpellierBastia
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack33%17%
Defense58%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montpellier Bastia
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins0%33%20%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%40%50%33%40%
Loses0%67%40%50%67%60%

Form: Montpellier: DWLDL • Bastia: DLLDL

League goals

Metric Montpellier Bastia
HATHAT
GF total224202
GF avg1.00.70.81.00.00.4
GA total235426
GA avg1.01.01.02.00.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontpellierBastia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%40%80%
1.520%0%0%20%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontpellierBastia
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score022033

Penalties

MetricMontpellierBastia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMontpellierBastia
Wins10
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-2
Biggest losses1-01-31-0
Goals For1210
Goals Against1131

Model comparison

MetricMontpellierBastia
Form71%29%
Att67%33%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Montpellier or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.35 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montpellier = 0.50 (league 1.40), Bastia = 0.33 (league 1.20)

Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montpellier 0 43.6% 14.5% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.7% 7.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 51.1% · Away win 18.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1