Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 12:00 • Stade de l'Aube
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.40) 0.37 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.5% 26.6% 9.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.6%
2 - 0
16.8%
0 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Guingamp
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estac Troyes 0 16.6% 6.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 8.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 6.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstac TroyesGuingamp
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack50%58%
Defense75%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estac Troyes Guingamp
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins100%0%60%33%50%40%
Draws0%50%20%33%0%20%
Loses0%50%20%33%50%40%

Form: Estac Troyes: WDWLW • Guingamp: DLLWW

League goals

Metric Estac Troyes Guingamp
HATHAT
GF total606437
GF avg2.00.01.21.31.51.4
GA total123729
GA avg0.31.00.62.31.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstac TroyesGuingamp
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%40%60%80%
1.540%20%40%40%
2.520%0%40%40%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstac TroyesGuingamp
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricEstac TroyesGuingamp
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricEstac TroyesGuingamp
Wins10
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-01-3
Biggest losses2-00-41-0
Goals For3033
Goals Against1241

Model comparison

MetricEstac TroyesGuingamp
Form59%41%
Att46%54%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h29%71%
Goals14%86%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : Estac Troyes or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ 1xBet
Draw3.93 @ Pinnacle
Away4.39 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estac Troyes = 1.42 (league 1.40), Guingamp = 0.37 (league 1.20)

Guingamp
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estac Troyes 0 16.6% 6.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 8.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 6.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.5% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 9.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1