Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:00 • Stade de la Libération
Match Finished
0 - 3

PAU

Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.40) 1.24 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.3% 29.6% 47.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.0%
0 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
PAU
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boulogne 0 13.6% 17.0% 10.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.2% 12.7% 7.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.8% 4.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoulognePAU
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack25%88%
Defense38%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Boulogne PAU
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins33%0%20%67%0%40%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%40%
Loses67%100%80%33%0%20%

Form: Boulogne: LLLLW • PAU: WDWDL

League goals

Metric Boulogne PAU
HATHAT
GF total202437
GF avg0.70.00.41.31.51.4
GA total325336
GA avg1.01.01.01.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoulognePAU
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%80%80%60%
1.50%20%60%40%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoulognePAU
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricBoulognePAU
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBoulognePAU
Wins01
Draws01
Losses40

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-0
Biggest losses1-21-00-3
Goals For1022
Goals Against2132

Model comparison

MetricBoulognePAU
Form27%73%
Att22%78%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h36%64%
Goals38%63%
Total35.8%64.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or PAU

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.32 @ Marathonbet
Away2.95 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Dafabet
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Dafabet
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Boulogne = 0.75 (league 1.40), PAU = 1.24 (league 1.20)

PAU
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boulogne 0 13.6% 17.0% 10.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.2% 12.7% 7.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.8% 4.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.3% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 47.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1