Ligue 2 — France
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Paul Lignon
Match Finished
1 - 2

PAU

Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.44) 0.85 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.3% 39.7% 45.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.1%
0 - 1
25.7%
0 - 2
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
PAU
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodez 0 30.1% 25.7% 11.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
1 10.5% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRodezPAU
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack33%44%
Defense78%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rodez PAU
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins25%67%43%75%33%57%
Draws50%0%29%0%67%29%
Loses25%33%29%25%0%14%

Form: Rodez: DLDWWLW • PAU: WDWDLWW

League goals

Metric Rodez PAU
HATHAT
GF total2465611
GF avg0.51.30.91.32.01.6
GA total268336
GA avg0.52.01.10.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRodezPAU
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%57%86%43%
1.514%29%57%29%
2.514%14%14%14%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRodezPAU
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricRodezPAU
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricRodezPAU
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-14-00-3—
Goals For1323
Goals Against1432

Model comparison

MetricRodezPAU
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h71%29%
Goals61%39%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Rodez or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away2.83 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rodez = 0.35 (league 1.44), PAU = 0.85 (league 1.17)

PAU
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodez 0 30.1% 25.7% 11.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
1 10.5% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.3% · Draw 39.7% · Away win 45.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1