Ligue 2 — France
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.33 (league 1.43) 1.44 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 8.4% 6.7%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.6%
3 - 1
6.1%
5 - 1
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Guingamp
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saint Etienne 0 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.4% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
2 2.9% 4.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.2% 6.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.6% 6.6% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
5 4.0% 5.7% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSaint EtienneGuingamp
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack57%57%
Defense71%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Saint Etienne Guingamp
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%75%71%50%33%43%
Draws33%25%29%25%0%14%
Loses0%0%0%25%67%43%

Form: Saint Etienne: DWWDWWW • Guingamp: DLLWWLW

League goals

Metric Saint Etienne Guingamp
HATHAT
GF total87156511
GF avg2.71.82.11.51.71.6
GA total3478715
GA avg1.01.01.02.02.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSaint EtienneGuingamp
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%57%71%86%
1.557%29%57%43%
2.543%14%29%43%
3.514%0%0%29%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSaint EtienneGuingamp
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricSaint EtienneGuingamp
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSaint EtienneGuingamp
Wins22
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-22-11-3
Biggest losses——0-45-2
Goals For4333
Goals Against2345

Model comparison

MetricSaint EtienneGuingamp
Form59%41%
Att50%50%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Saint Etienne and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ Unibet
Draw4.60 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Betano
Under 2.52.35 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.16 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Saint Etienne = 4.33 (league 1.43), Guingamp = 1.44 (league 1.18)

Guingamp
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saint Etienne 0 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.4% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
2 2.9% 4.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.2% 6.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.6% 6.6% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
5 4.0% 5.7% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.8% · Draw 8.4% · Away win 6.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1