Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:00 • Stade des Alpes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.40) 0.65 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.5% 39.0% 28.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.7%
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 1
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grenoble 0 25.7% 16.6% 5.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 11.8% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGrenobleBastia
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack22%17%
Defense61%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Grenoble Bastia
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%0%14%0%0%0%
Draws33%25%29%33%25%29%
Loses33%75%57%67%75%71%

Form: Grenoble: LDLDWLL • Bastia: DLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Grenoble Bastia
HATHAT
GF total336404
GF avg1.00.80.91.30.00.6
GA total46107411
GA avg1.31.51.42.31.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGrenobleBastia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%43%86%
1.50%43%14%43%
2.50%14%0%29%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGrenobleBastia
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score011044

Penalties

MetricGrenobleBastia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGrenobleBastia
Wins10
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0
Biggest losses1-32-11-32-0
Goals For1120
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricGrenobleBastia
Form80%20%
Att57%43%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total58.6%41.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Grenoble or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.26 @ Pinnacle
Away2.45 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Grenoble = 0.71 (league 1.40), Bastia = 0.65 (league 1.20)

Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grenoble 0 25.7% 16.6% 5.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 11.8% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.5% · Draw 39.0% · Away win 28.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1